基于贝叶斯网络的MEMS安全系统可靠性分析

Reliability Analysis on MEMS S&A Device Based on Bayesian Network

  • 摘要: 随着MEMS技术的不断发展,对于引信中MEMS安全系统的可靠性提出了更高要求.为了解决目前MEMS安全可靠性分析中存在着各机构可靠度数据不全面,主要依赖于大量实验或专家经验的现状,对MEMS安全系统的失效状况进行分析,构建了MEMS安全系统的故障树,并计算了各重点机构的可靠度功能函数.以此为基础,提出了一种将故障树与贝叶斯网络进行转化的可靠性分析方法.同时针对各失效机理进行了概率重要度和结构重要度计算,从可靠性重要度角度提出了MEMS安全系统设计中的重点优化机构,并进行了计算实例分析.借助于MEMS加工工艺,实现了MEMS安全系统的加工,通过可靠性测试实验,证明了本方法计算的快速准确性.

     

    Abstract: With the continuous development of MEMS technology, higher requirements are put forward for the reliability of the MEMS safety system in the fuze. In order to solve the problem of incomplete reliability data of various institutions and depending mainly on a large number of experiments or expert experience in the current MEMS safety and reliability analysis, in this paper, analyzing the failure status of the MEMS safety system, a fault tree of the MEMS safety system was constructed and the reliability function of each key organization was calculated. Based on this, a reliability analysis method was proposed, transforming fault tree and Bayesian network. At the same time, the probability importance and structural importance were calculated for each failure mechanism, and the key optimization mechanism in the design of MEMS safety system was proposed from the perspective of reliability importance, and some calculation example analyses were carried out. Based on the MEMS processing technology, a MEMS safety system was produced, and the reliability experiment was carried out, proving the rapidity and accuracy of the calculation of this method.

     

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