PM2.5 Concentration Prediction Based on PCA-OS-ELM
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Abstract
In order to improve the prediction accuracy of PM2.5 concentration,a method based on the principal component analysis and online sequential extreme learning machine (PCA-OS-ELM) was proposed to predict PM2.5 concentration in this paper. Firstly,principal component analysis (PCA) was used to extract the key variables affecting air quality in high-dimensional atmospheric data,and remove unnecessary redundant variables. Secondly,an online sequential extreme learning machine (OS-ELM) network prediction model was established by using the extracted key variables. Finally,the training data and network parameters were continuously updated to realize the rapid prediction of PM2.5 concentration by combining batch processing with successive iteration. The results show that,taking different batches of training data to update the model,the PCA-OS-ELM prediction method can quickly realize the prediction of atmospheric PM2.5 concentration,proving the effectiveness of the proposed method. Compared with other methods,this method shows little prediction error,higher prediction accuracy and better practical value.
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