多机制耦合作用下社交网络极端情绪传播路径研究

    Research on the Propagation Path of Extreme Emotions in Social Networks under Multi-mechanism Coupling

    • 摘要: 突发公共事件背景下,网络极端情绪快速生成与扩散,已成为影响社会稳定和应急治理的重要隐性风险。为系统揭示其传播机理与治理路径,本文从复杂系统视角出发,构建了多机制耦合社交网络极端情绪传播的理论与模型框架。研究在理论层面梳理了网络极端情绪传播的多维驱动机制,从风险事件冲击、个体认知调节、社会系统强化与公共治理干预四个维度阐释了“外生激发—内生调控—群体放大—制度收敛”的演化逻辑。在方法层面,构建了“传染病—情绪”双层网络耦合的动态模型,综合考虑了外部扰动、心理阈值异质性、社会强化作用及治理反馈机制等因素。仿真结果显示,风险事件冲击决定情绪传播的启动与峰值规模,个体调节能力影响早期扩散速率,社会强化机制加速群体共鸣与极化,而公共治理与干预在中后期通过信息引导与负反馈调节实现情绪收敛;传染病—情绪耦合机制进一步揭示了“生理风险—心理风险”的双重放大效应。在此基础上,本文提出了涵盖风险识别、心理调节、社会结构优化与协同治理的综合对策框架,强调以数据驱动的早期识别、个体韧性提升、网络结构干预与时变治理响应为核心路径,构建“识别—调控—引导—治理—协同”的闭环体系,实现网络极端情绪的精准识别与系统收敛。本研究为突发事件中社会情绪传播规律与治理机制的系统建模提供了理论支撑,对完善国家应急管理体系,强化社会心理韧性建设具有重要参考价值。

       

      Abstract: Against the backdrop of frequent public emergencies, the rapid generation and diffusion of extreme emotions in social networks have become a significant latent risk affecting social stability and emergency governance. To systematically reveal their propagation mechanisms and governance pathways, this study constructed a theoretical and modeling framework for extreme emotion dissemination in social networks under multi-mechanism coupling from a complex systems perspective. At the theoretical level, the study elaborated on the multidimensional driving mechanisms of networked extreme emotion propagation, explaining the system’s evolutionary logic of “external stimulation–internal regulation–collective amplification–institutional convergence” from four aspects: risk event shocks, individual cognition-regulation, social system reinforcement, and public governance intervention. At the methodological level, a dynamic dual-layer coupling model integrating epidemic-emotion transmission was developed, taking into account external disturbances, heterogeneous psychological thresholds, social reinforcement effects, and governance feedback mechanisms. Simulation results indicate that risk event shocks determine the onset and peak magnitude of emotion spread; individual regulatory ability affects early diffusion speed; social reinforcement accelerates group resonance and polarization; while public governance and intervention achieve emotional convergence in the later stages through information guidance and negative feedback regulation. The coupling between epidemic and emotion transmission further reveals a dual amplification effect of “physiological risk–psychological risk.” Based on these findings, this paper proposes a comprehensive governance framework covering risk identification, psychological regulation, social structure optimization, and collaborative governance. It emphasizes data-driven early detection, enhancement of individual resilience, network structural intervention, and time-varying governance response as the core pathways to build a closed-loop system of “identification–regulation–guidance–governance–coordination,”realizing precise identification and systemic convergence of extreme emotions in social networks. The study provides theoretical support for systematic modeling of emotional contagion and governance during emergencies and offers important reference for improving the national emergency management system and enhancing social psychological resilience.

       

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