中国水泥行业点源层面CCUS技术减排潜力与优化部署

    Potential and Optimization Deployment of CCUS Technology Emission Reduction at Point Source Level in China’s Cement Industry

    • 摘要: 高能耗、高排放的水泥行业是中国减碳工作中重点关注的行业。目前水泥行业总CO2排放约13.75亿吨,占全国总排放的12%,面临巨大的减排压力。碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS)技术能对水泥行业深度减排,是实现“碳达峰与碳中和”目标不可或缺的关键性技术。为精准测算水泥行业开展CCUS的减排潜力和优化部署方案,基于生产线尺度数据测算水泥生产过程各个环节的CO2排放量以及适合开展CO2捕集的规模。构建全流程成本核算模型和CCUS源汇匹配模型,得到水泥行业开展CCUS技术各环节的成本、源汇匹配优化方案和减排潜力。研究结果表明:中国水泥行业与过程相关的CO2排放约占60%,该环节的捕集规模为6.18亿吨CO2/年。华北地区的河北、华东地区的山东和中南地区的湖北、河南的水泥熟料生产线CO2捕集潜力大并且成本低,与渤海湾盆地、江汉—洞庭盆地和临汾盆地形成良好的源汇匹配关系,适合优先开展CCUS技术减排,形成示范效应。

       

      Abstract: The cement industry, characterized by high energy consumption and high emissions, is a focus in China’s carbon reduction efforts. Currently, the cement industry releases approximately 1.38 billion tons of CO2 emissions, accounting for 12% of the country’s total emissions. Despite the vision of achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, the industry still faces significant pressure to reduce emissions. Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technology is an important pathway for the cement industry to achieve emission reduction and serve as a bottom-line for the realization of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. To accurately assess the CCUS potential and optimize deployment strategies in the cement industry, the CO2 emissions at various stages of the cement production process were first calculate and the scale suitable for CO2 capture was determined based on production line-scale data. Then, a technical and economic evaluation model for cement production lines and a CCUS source-sink matching model were constructed to analyze the costs, emission reduction scales, and distribution of source-sink matching in the whole process of CCUS technology deployment in the cement industry. Research findings indicate that CO2 emissions associated with the Chinese cement industry’s processes account for approximately 60%, with a capture potential of 618 million tons of CO2 per year. Cement clinker production lines in Hebei province in North China, Shandong province in East China, and Hubei province, as well as Henan province in Central and South China, demonstrate significant CO2 capture potential with low costs. These provinces, in conjunction with Bohai Bay Basin, Jianghan-Dongting Basin, and Linfen Basin, form favorable source-sink matching relationships, making them suitable for prioritized implementation of CCUS technology for emission reduction and the establishment of demonstration effects. The research findings can provide reference for low-carbon development of the cement industry and the commercial deployment of CCUS.

       

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