基于混合优化驱动TCN-BiLSTM的高超声速滑翔飞行器轨迹预测

Hybrid Optimization Driven TCN-BiLSTM Based Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

  • 摘要: 为提高高超声速滑翔飞行器(HGV)轨迹预测的精度,提出一种基于时域卷积网络(temporal convolutional network,TCN)和双向长短时记忆网络(bidirectional long short-term memory network,BiLSTM)结合的HGV轨迹预测方法. 该方法利用TCN的因果膨胀卷积提取HGV轨迹多尺度动态特征,融合BiLSTM的双向循环机制挖掘轨迹长时依赖与上下文关联,通过全连接层将预测结果映射到样本空间. 引入贝叶斯优化(Bayesian optimization, BO)与灰狼优化(grey wolf optimization,GWO)组合优化模式,实现了网络超参数的全局优化,据此建立了深度学习框架下的HGV轨迹预测模型. 数值仿真结果表明,在训练完备条件下,建立的预测模型能够有效预测HGV未来时刻的位置状态,相较于4种对比模型,该预测模型的均方根误差平均降低62.10%,平均绝对误差平均降低61.66%.

     

    Abstract: Hypersonic glide vehicles (HGVs) have characteristics of wide strike range, fast flight speed and strong penetration ability, which bring severe challenges to accurate HGV trajectory prediction.To improve HGV trajectory prediction accuracy, a HGV trajectory prediction method based on time-domain convolution network (TCN) and bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) was proposed. This method used causal dilation convolution of TCN to extract multi-scale dynamic features of HGV trajectory, and integrated bidirectional circulation mechanism of BiLSTM. It realized deep fusion of spatial correlation features by mining long-term dependence and context correlation of the trajectory. Finally, the method mapped prediction results to sample space through fully connected layer. Meanwhile, by introducing combination optimization mode of Bayesian optimization (BO) and grey wolf optimization (GWO), the method realized global optimization of network hyperparameters and established a HGV trajectory prediction model under deep learning framework.Numerical simulation results show that with complete training, the established prediction model can effectively predict future position state of HGV. Compared with four comparison models, the root mean square error of the proposed prediction model decreases by an average of 62.10%, and the average absolute error decreases by an average of 61.66%.

     

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