中国储能产业中动力电池梯次利用的商业价值

    Commercial Value of Power Battery Echelon Utilization in China's Energy Storage Industry

    • 摘要: 动力电池作为储能最佳的载体之一,是否具备商业价值成为影响储能产业发展的重要因素?在对国内外储能产业发展现状分析的基础上,应用系统动力学理论从发电侧、电网侧和用户侧以及辅助服务等方面对影响商业价值的成本和收益要素进行深入分析。进一步引入碳排放政策下的环境收入等指标,系统梳理各成本/收入指标间的相互关系,构建梯次利用动力电池储能的系统动力学模型。利用VENSIM软件对中国首个"金太阳项目"——"张北风光储输示范项目"的动力电池梯次利用储能的商业价值模型进行仿真模拟。研究表明:梯次利用动力电池储能具有一定的经济性,其商业价值的提高可以从电池成本、政府补贴以及峰谷价差等多角度来思考。未来随着电池成本下降、额定容量增加、峰谷电价差、国家补贴等因素的变化,中国储能产业中动力电池梯次利用的商业价值将会更加显著。

       

      Abstract: Power battery is one of the best carriers for energy storage. Whether it has commercial value or not has become an important factor affecting the development of the energy storage industry. Based on the analysis of the status quo of the development of domestic and foreign energy storage industries,this paper applies system dynamics theory to in-depth analysis of the cost and revenue factors affecting business value from the aspects of generation side,grid side and user side,and ancillary services. Further introduce the environmental income and other indicators under the carbon emission policy,systematically sort out the interrelationships among the various cost/income indicators,and build a system dynamics model that utilizes the energy storage of the power battery. Finally,this paper uses VENSIM software to simulate the commercial value model of energy storage using the power battery of China's first "Golden Sun Project"—"Zhangbei Scenery Storage and Transportation Demonstration Project". The research shows that the use of energy storage for power batteries in a cascade is economical. The increase in commercial value can be considered from the perspectives of battery costs,government subsidies,and peak-to-valley spreads. In the future,as the cost of batteries decreases,the rated capacity increases,the price difference between peaks and valleys,and state subsidies change,the commercial value of the use of power batteries in China's energy storage industry will become more significant.

       

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